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Porsche lease deal - What do you guys think?
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10-24-2018, 10:39 AM | #111 |
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10-24-2018, 10:46 AM | #112 | |
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10-24-2018, 10:49 AM | #113 | |
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I don't have time to work through this right now, but there are two major issues here. 1) Assuming you are deducting based on business use, if your company made a profit in the year of purchase, you can use Sec 179 bonus depreciation and expense 100% of the value of the vehicle in year one if you buy versus lease. That would demolish any lease savings. 2) You are assuming a 2% finance rate. I was assuming a cash purchase, since the most fiscally sound way to purchase anything is with cash.
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10-24-2018, 10:51 AM | #114 | |
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Additionally, with ownership comes the responsibility of additional depreciation. If I get into an accident on a lease, it does not affect my depreciation because the residual has already been set by the lease terms. On a purchased vehicle, the value goes down, so when I go to sell the car I will lose some of the residual. Don't get me wrong, I own 2 cars, I know the financial benefits and comforts of owning, especially if the maintenance is low and you get a lot of use out of the car, but each car buying decision I make, I weigh the legitimate advantages of the lease in my decision because it is in my best interest to do so to see what works best of the situation.
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10-24-2018, 11:03 AM | #115 | |
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2) Well no it isn't, a) some of the interest can be claimed and b) why am I paying $42k out of pocket when i can beat that 2% in a 3 year term deposit saving account (no gambling)? I fundamentally agree with your point of view, i am just surprised how the numbers are falling out. I actually think CPO may not be the way to go but buying 5 years is instead. $22k for this car, with 75,000KM and loaded the way it is and with full service records is insane value, even accounting for brakes, tyres, water pump, it's a great deal. |
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10-24-2018, 11:10 AM | #116 | |
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With interest rates still exceptionally low, why would I ever put that cash into a car when I can invest it? I just opened a new auto loan two weeks ago at 3% APR. Let's assume it's a $100k car, and I can receive 9% return from my investments. By paying cash I just lost $6k in returns that I would have had if I took the loan and invested the cash. YMMY and it depends on your financial situation, market factors, etc. but I'll use my credit all day long while rates are still what they are.
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10-24-2018, 11:16 AM | #117 | |
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As such, I will withhold future comments. Regarding cash vs loan - even at current rates, in the USA the typical loan rate will not exceed the best short term CD rate, so it doesn't wash. Investments will have a greater ROI but also have risk. Factoring in risk to the equation usually nets out any gains. Let's not. I am tired of trying to overcome the ego's of people who think that leasing or financing a car is a great financial decision. You all do what you want with your money. Me? I'm gonna do what rich people do, which is not lease a car when your net worth doesn't exceed $1M. https://www.daveramsey.com/blog/midd...s-millionaires https://www.daveramsey.com/blog/habi...d-billionaires https://www.daveramsey.com/blog/millionaire-secrets
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10-24-2018, 11:34 AM | #118 | ||
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1) I don't want a CPO car for 7 years, I want a brand new car every 3 years. 2) My preference for a new car every 3 years is analogous to preferring to have a car over just using public transportation. Isn't public transportation a better financial decision? It's certainly cheaper. 3) The point is, we are paying for a product/service/luxury. Most of us choose to get a car over using the bus NOT because it's a better financial decision, but because the convenience of a car outweighs the savings over the bus and we generate enough income to allow us that luxury. I feel I make enough money to want to drive a new car every three years. I don't want a CPO, I don't want to keep certain cars over 7 years. So with MY conditions in mind, I have come to the conclusion, in several occasions, to lease a car because the small increase in expense on two 3 year leases is worth the luxury of a new car every 3 years over owning a car for 6 years. 4) I never said leasing is always advantageous hence I own 2 cars and I lease 2. You insinuated that leasing is ALWAYS a bad financial decision, and I disagree. Quote:
Lets break it down: MSRP is $80k. I paid $78k. The residual on the lease was 61%. Total expense on the lease including tax, interest, fees etc is $42k. If I had paid cash for the M3, the total expense after tax is $84,400 - residual value. Currently kbb is showing a trade-in value of $40k. $84,400-$40k=$44,400. As you can see in this case, purchasing is more expensive than leasing if I want a new car every 3 years because the RV on the lease was high. I won't even get into the i3 which saves me enough gas to cover my monthly. My only out of pocket is the insurance, a small price to pay for the convenience the car provides.
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10-24-2018, 11:38 AM | #119 |
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But you shouldn't want a new car. Or a nice car. Pay cash for a shitbox and live in a cardboard box. If you're doing it differently you're doing it wrong. This is the worst moving target argument I've seen recently.
And honestly, why would having a million of assets be the tipping point for almost anything? If you're over 40 with a college degree, you'd almost always have a million in assets just by the nature of things. I'd argue that a threshold for being excessively liquid is likely ten or twenty times higher than $1m. |
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10-24-2018, 11:43 AM | #120 | |
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10-24-2018, 11:51 AM | #121 | ||
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...if we were going by your logic.
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10-24-2018, 11:51 AM | #122 | ||
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Yet with 11m US millionaires, I think your stat for those in their 40's is low. |
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10-24-2018, 11:54 AM | #123 |
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Well not really, even by my numbers above where the lease can be written off quite aggressively for business owners vs a purchase, the CPo still comes out in front even if by less than i would imagine.
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10-24-2018, 12:38 PM | #124 |
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Isn't that sentence completely contradictory? If your net worth doesn't exceed $1M aren't you inherently "not rich" therefore this isn't what rich people do...it's what not rich people do...
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10-24-2018, 01:39 PM | #125 | |
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Yeah, my fault - I added a couple of zero's on accident. I meant .1% - which might still be a little low, but one would imagine that the bulk of millionaires don't reach that level till near age 60. For all others - I've said my piece. If someone wants to lease a vehicle knowing that it isn't the cheapest way to drive a car, then that is up to them. If they disagree that it isn't the cheapest way to buy a car, then they are welcome to continue with that belief. The facts speak otherwise.
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10-24-2018, 02:43 PM | #126 |
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I'd still posit that for a three year ownership window, leasing is frequently cheaper. That requires accepting that three years is a viable amount of time to possess a car, which you seem unlikely to accept.
For us, we got our recently returned F30 right after the LCI. So a CPO would have been a (slightly) worse car and held less of its value. We could have paid cash for it, but then that raises the opportunity cost of taking that money out of the market, which outperformed the interest rate of our lease comfortably for those three years, and we'd still have lost money on that deal ignoring that. When new models appear, they tend to both be better than their predecessor (F30 excluded) and ramp up the depreciation curve for the previous model. We're likely about to see another example of a leased G20 outperforming a purchased CPO F30. I admit that I'm using one of the worst recent BMW's here, but it still shows that your "facts" are not actually so. |
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10-24-2018, 02:49 PM | #127 |
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However I do think that just as our F30 created an ideal lease situation because of high residuals at the time we got it giving way to much lower than expected retained value because of the market shift to CUVs, we're likely about to see another tidal shift to 48V hybrids and straight EV's creating an unexpected drop in demand for used ICE cars, thus creating a sizable delta between lease residuals and actual market valuation at the end of those leases. At least in the middle of the market where pricing will be relatively similar.
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10-24-2018, 02:52 PM | #128 | |
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10-24-2018, 02:57 PM | #129 |
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I gave you specific real world numbers. Those facts spoke for themselves.
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10-24-2018, 03:04 PM | #131 | |
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10-24-2018, 03:12 PM | #132 | ||
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you honestly shoudn't be buying a BMW. Since you can walk to work! Rich as fuck Quote:
And for someone who said buy your big purchases in CASH. WTF you are an accountant? 0.9% financing vs at 5% conversative return in stocks. anywayz, another lease vs buy thread; always a charm |
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